The move is widely believed to be an attempt to block a conglomeration of states—Greece, Cyprus, Israel, and Egypt—in their quest to streamline gas from the eastern Mediterranean. The most serious threat may be the convergence of ‘deepfake’ technology and analytical tools that mine personal data to identify swing-voters most susceptible to altered videos designed to influence their beliefs. As the United States continues to retrench, it provides an opening to rising powers and near-peer competitors to fill the void, which countries like Russia, China, Iran, and Turkey have eagerly filled. Next in our series on strategic commodities we examine tantalum, a conflict mineral with complex geopolitical ramifications for East Africa and beyond. InsiderRelease January 31, 2021 3 min read. Technologically, the U.S. remains a world leader, but China is quickly closing the gap, particularly in the area of AI and other emerging technologies. Four Scenarios for Geopolitical Order in 2025-2030: What Will Great Power Competition Look Like? Nine key geopolitical forces will shape global politics in the 2020s: 1. The liberation forces are using the lockdown as an opportunity to arrest senior Khazarian Mafiosi, while the Satanists are hoping to vaccinate and microchip the general public back into submission, multiple sources agree. In this year’s Political Risk Outlook, we kick off by taking a forensic look at the upsurge in civil unrest. Get exclusive analysis delivered to your inbox daily. or would it prove to be a geopolitical game‘-changer’, creating a world profoundly ... we assess how the pandemic has affected previously existing geopolitical trends. If U.S. global influence ebbs further in 2020, regional powers will continue to edge toward greater economic, political, military, and technological dominance to capitalize upon the United States’ steady decline. Nowadays, from a geopolitical point of view, the main question seems to be how to recognize the actual strategic interests of a country when they are the result of the interdependence between states in the current world order. Past is precedent in Israeli election, Secretary-General Guterres warns on the financial stability of the developing world, and troubling signs of a civil war in Myanmar. GPF is non-ideological, analyzes the world and forecasts the future using geopolitics: political, economic, military and geographic dimensions at the foundation of a nation. Emerging superpowers and minor states are rewriting the geopolitical balances of the continent. geopolitical factors were associated with implementation. Chinese soldiers now prevent Indian patrols in the area *** There are two key regions in Asia – the South China sea and the Himalayas – that will det Both laws, however, have significant flaws. Last year alone, the world witnessed protest movements in Algeria, Bolivia, Chile, Colombia, Egypt, France, Hong Kong, India, Iraq, Lebanon, Russia, Sudan, and elsewhere. Data will become the new oil. Africa is an immense continent, characterized by deep differences and internal complexity. … Early vaccine euphoria is fading as policymakers grapple with resurgent COVID-19 outbreaks in Europe and North America. *** UPDATES *** November 1 2020: A summer of fighting saw India lose control over about 300 square kilometers (115 square miles) of land along the disputed mountainous terrain, according to Indian officials familiar with the situation. The most immediate challenge is how the conflict between the United States and Iran unfolds, which is a situation that is likely to drag on for months, if not longer. Europe’s populist parties haven’t thrived amid COVID-19 – but their ideas have. More information on this seminar Politically, the United States’ ability to leverage alliances has diminished, especially as President Trump has publicly questioned the value of institutions like NATO. Asian conflicts are booming. Following the end of the Cold War, the United States became the world’s dominant power for the better part of three decades. Many conservative journalists are ‘informed’ in their political analysis by a certain narrative of how things will pan out near the End Times. Your comment will be posted pending moderator approval. The Battle for Planet Earth is reaching a climax as opposing forces try to use the “coronavirus pandemic” to achieve their agendas. Later in December, in Monsey, New York, an individual with a demonstrated affinity for the Black Israelite movement, carried out a stabbing attack that injured five at a rabbi’s home during Hanukah. A Certificate in Geopolitical Analysis can be obtained upon completion of the course. As such, because of the inadequacy of U.S. laws and regulations coupled with Silicon Valley’s cautious approach, there is a high likelihood that U.S. voters will be exposed to and influenced by political deepfakes during the 2020 election. On an international level, there are explicit global security threats posed by deepfakes, including conflict that could spill over from the virtual to the physical world. Geopolitical Futures (GPF) was founded in 2015 by George Friedman, international strategist and author of The Next 100 Years. InsiderRelease February 2, 2021 4 min read. If the early 2000s were marked by the global war on terror, the 2010s by post-crisis economic recovery and the rise of populism, the 2020s appear set to become the decade of rage, unrest and shifting geopolitical sands. To our knowledge, this is the first multi-region analysis of NCD policy implementation covering 78% of UN member states, and the first study to quantitively examine national political characteristics and … GEOPOLITICS: Eternal Brexit - Analysis By George Friedman posted on September 10, 2020 via GEOPoliticalMatters.com In 2016, the British government called for a referendum on whether the United Kingdom should remain a member of the European Union. The Soleimani killing greatly increases the chances of war between Washington and Tehran with the Iranians likely to implement a multi-phase approach to reduce American influence in the Middle East, beginning in Iraq. Read the latest analysis on geopolitical issues today, covering political, economic, military, commodities, energy security & environmental issues. Five defining elements are reshaping the globe, geopolitics and societies. We temporarily stopped using Twitter as an input as of July 3, 2020. In 2020, the U.S. Presidential election will be mired in innuendo and false narratives that will make it difficult for the American electorate to divine fact from fiction. In contrast, the U.S. federal government has yet to dedicate the resources necessary to meet the domestic terrorism challenge. Moving into 2020, U.S. power has waned considerably. Entering 2020, there are a host of geopolitical trends that will significantly impact global security throughout the coming year and beyond. 2020 will likely bear witness to Washington’s continued retreat from multilateralism on a gradual but steady glide path toward moderate isolationism. At the end of a year in which COVID-19 dominated the headlines, Nigel Gould-Davies, Editor of Strategic Survey 2020, reflects on the geopolitical lessons that should not be ignored in the year of pandemic. Public Reports; COVID-19 MAP; log in sign up. It is difficult to disaggregate these events, which are shaping their respective countries and challenging existing systems of governance. Beautiful places and people deriving by a wide range of different ethnic groups and tribes. Last week’s brutal Palma attack is fueling concerns of state collapse in northeast Mozambique. African Conflicts 2020/2021 – Geopolitical Analysis. Deepfakes, which is the use of Artificial Intelligence (AI)-driven technology to create altered audio and video content to present the audience with a narrative that seems real, are becoming increasingly prevalent and growing more sophisticated. The most urgent crisis in 2020 is how the conflict between the United States and Iran unfolds, but each of these trends presents complex challenges for the global community and to deal with effectively, require collaboration between states and non-state actors, the public and private sectors, corporations, and civil society organizations. Your email address will not be published. May 18, 2020 al The Geopolitics of the 2020 Election: Part I (NB: Due to the Memorial Day holiday, the next report will be published on June 1.) Your email address will not be published. Toward the end of last year, Turkey and Libya signed an accord with Libya’s internationally-recognized government that would create an exclusive economic zone between the southern shore of Turkey in the Mediterranean to the northeastern coast of Libya. No ad hominem attacks will be posted. Continue reading "Geopolitical Predictive Analysis – May 2020" refreshing in 5,4,3.. Nord Stream 2 is a $10.5 billion project that will deliver Russian natural gas to Europe through a pipeline being built in the Baltic Sea. GEOPOLITICAL ANALYSIS OF AFGHANISTAN (APRIL 2011) 1. Insider Release wanted to analyze the geopolitical situation in … Assessing the geopolitics and motives behind emergence of the Quad’s Leadership Summit. Supply chains will be forced to shift rapidly away from geopolitical hotspots. Geopolitics African Conflicts 2020/2021 – Geopolitical Analysis. Entering 2020, there are a host of geopolitical trends that will significantly impact global security throughout the coming year and beyond. Entering 2020, there are a host of geopolitical trends that will significantly impact global security throughout the coming year and beyond. Simply put, Washington’s appetite to use its military power to influence regional conflicts has waned considerably, although the recent assassination of Iranian General Qassem Soleimani could bring Washington and Tehran into direct conflict in the region. The Tech Wars: Technology will become a frontline of geopolitical competition. Ancient Underground Tunnels 2020 Documentary Subterranean Worlds Span The Entire Earth. This crisis will sharpen pre-existing tensions between the US and China, rather than radically reshape the regional geopolitical order, explains Lynn Kuok. Dates: will be communicated. This seminar introduces the main components and methodology of geopolitical analysis and integrates a case study assessment and exercise. Five geopolitical trends to watch closely in the coming year are the continued proliferation of disinformation; rising anti-Semitism and the globalization of anti-Semitism and white supremacy extremism; an international system shifting from unipolar to multipolar; the momentum of worldwide protest movements; and the importance of energy as a significant determinant of states’ foreign and security policies. The second space race will begin. racially and ethnically motivated extremism (REME). The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound impact on global affairs. Within the next decade, China will inevitably eclipse the United States and take over the mantle as the world’s economic engine. Executive Seminar 1 The Essentials of Geopolitical Analysis . michael davino 108 Views 2001 Anthrax Terror: The EVENT Used for 2020 Lockdown Tyranny. Though short on details, the recent China-Iran deal could one day be looked back on as a seminal moment in the geopolitics of the Middle East. Another area where geopolitics and energy security are converging rapidly is in the eastern Mediterranean. The recent China-Iran agreement presents Baghdad with a profound geopolitical choice: the United States or China? At least two states, Texas and California, have passed laws banning political deepfake videos. Geopoliticalmonitor.com is a registered trade name of Geopoliticalmonitor Intelligence Corp. © 2021 Geopoliticalmonitor Intelligence Corp., All Rights Reserved | ISSN 1927-3045. you need to be logged in to access this page. Each of these trends presents complex problems for the global community and requires collaboration between states and non-state actors, the public and private sectors, corporations, and civil society organizations. Europe´s Leading Geopolitical News Network. In response to the rising tide, New York City Mayor Bill DeBlasio created a special unit within the New York City Police Department to deal with the increasing threat of racially and ethnically motivated extremism (REME). Middle East Gamechanger? Many demonstrations retain overwhelmingly parochial characteristics, while some are more regional in scope, and yet others are more global in nature. INTRODUCTION For many centuries, Afghanistan has been a natural corridor for conquerors and traders that moved troops or goods from West to East, between Middle East and India, and the other way around. We then use text analysis to calculate the frequency of their appearance in the Refinitiv Broker Report and Dow Jones Global Newswire databases as well as on Twitter. Skip to content. Yet, Twitter has decided only to potentially flag, but not remove, political deepfakes. 2020 is likely to continue a series of historical changes that drive events across different regions of the world. SIGN UP FOR A CIPHER BRIEF MEMBERSHIP PLAN TO ACCESS EXCLUSIVE CONTENT. Many of these challenges overlap and interact with each other and will be impacted by developments in emerging technologies, demographic shifts, and socio-cultural factors.